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Rising COVID-19 Cases Starting To Hurt US Aviation Recovery

A significant uptick in the number of new COVID-19 infections across the United States is about to put the brakes on the airline industry’s recovery there. With the number of new COVID-19 infections in the particular US reaching six-month highs, at least one flight is warning it is impacting passenger demand and revenues.

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Southwest Airlines has rung the bell on a downswing in passenger demand across the United States. Photo: Ontario International Airport

Southwest sees cancelations increase plus forward bookings decrease

The United States has recorded around 118, 000 new COVID-19 infections every day over typically the past week. On Wednesday, Dallas-based Southwest Airlines said it was seeing a slowdown in bookings as a result.

“The Company has recently experienced a deceleration in close-in bookings and an increase in close-in trip cancellations in August 2021, which are believed to be driven by the recent rise within COVID-19 cases associated with the Delta variant, ” Southwest Airlines said in an SEC filing.  

“Based on this assumption that COVID-19 cases remain elevated in often the near-term and current revenue trends that kicks off in august continue into September, the Company’s current outlook for third-quarter 2021 operating revenues have worsened by an estimated three to four points from its previous outlook three weeks ago, compared with third-quarter 2019. ”

Southwest Airlines revealed it made a profit in July, but the deceleration in forward bookings means it now expects in order to post a loss this quarter.

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South west is the first of the US-based airlines to be able to warn of deteriorating travel demand. Photo: Ontario International Airport

Southwest the first US-based airline to ring your bell on declining demand

Southwest will be the first of the exact big United States-based airlines to ring the very bell on rising COVID-19 infections. It marks the sharp turnaround from recent upbeat messaging from Usa States-based airline CEOs.

In mid-July, Combined Airlines CEO Scott Kirby told CNBC a spreading Delta variant wasn’t impacting bookings. Acknowledging there would be “ ups and downs ” inside demand, he dismissed any downswing in demand as a new temporary (and a not yet occurring) issue.

Delta’s CEO Ed Bastian echoed Kirby. “As the news of the variant’s spreading, we haven’t seen any slowdown at all, ” the Delta boss said. He said 60 – 90 day forward bookings were strong and people were “ learning to live ” with the virus.

“Demand for our product remains strong throughout July and for the main remainder from the summer, ” said American Airlines CEO in July.

“As people have gotten vaccinated and things have reopened, the demand is just very, very strong, ” Helane Becker, an airline analyst, stated in an investor note. “People have money and time, in addition to they’re using it for you to travel. ”

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Southwest’s CEO Gary Kelly. Photo: Getty Images.

A fast-changing environment may put US airlines in a tough spot

But a lot can change in a few several weeks, especially in the air travel industry. The COVID-19 situation in the United Says has deteriorated significantly since then.

Any downturn popular across finally, the United States put that airline CEOs in an awkward position. Most possess recently started rehiring upon the back of strong demand over the northern hemisphere summer season. American Air carriers has recently upped the number associated with pilots it plans to help rehire. Delta Air Lines is also hiring thousands regarding new employees. At Freebie southwest, CEO Gary Kelly is usually moving to increase the minimum wage at the airline.

Meanwhile, Southwest Flight companies has resisted calls towards mandate vaccinations for the employees. While strongly encouraging employee vaccinations, Southwest’s Gary Kelly has declined that will follow United’s lead around mandating employee vaccinations.

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